Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Poehling 47.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 62.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 55.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.2%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Eller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Eller
Poehling
Last 7: Eller 2-5 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Eller
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
4
Eller
Poehling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
45.1% (437)
+6.0%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
56.4% (39)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
61.5% (13)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Eller
Poehling
Home
51.2% (510)
46.6% (232)
Away
47.8% (521)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Eller
Poehling
P1
50.7%
43.9%
P2
49.0%
49.1%
P3
48.3%
46.4%
OT
56.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:18 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |