Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Poehling 49.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 51.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.3%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.9%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Eller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Eller
Poehling
Last 8: Eller 5-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
3
Eller
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
50.4% (752)
+2.4%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
37.0% (27)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
45.3% (159)
+0.9%
On power play, Eller has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Eller
Poehling
Home
54.5% (448)
51.2% (467)
Away
50.2% (484)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Eller
Poehling
P1
52.8%
54.6%
P2
50.9%
46.7%
P3
53.4%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Lars Eller |