Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Poehling 46.2% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 53.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 54.4%
Neutral zone
Poehling 51.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Eller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Eller
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Eller
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
46.5% (269)
+7.3%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
66.7% (3)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
42.4% (139)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Poehling is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Home / Away
Eller
Poehling
Home
56.4% (486)
45.2% (177)
Away
51.2% (537)
45.3% (234)
By Period
Eller
Poehling
P1
55.1%
47.7%
P2
55.3%
44.4%
P3
51.7%
44.6%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2023 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |