Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Poehling 50.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 58.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 63.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Eller
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Eller
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Eller
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
52.6% (622)
+0.2%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
58.3% (12)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
39.8% (103)
+5.7%
On power play, Eller has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Eller
Poehling
Home
52.6% (340)
53.2% (393)
Away
51.8% (411)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Eller
Poehling
P1
52.4%
50.9%
P2
54.1%
56.2%
P3
50.0%
46.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |