Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Nosek 53.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 51.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Eller
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Eller
Nosek
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
6
3
Eller
Nosek
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
4
Eller
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
54.9% (2,674)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
44.7% (47)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
47.4% (424)
-0.7%
On power play, Eller has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Eller
Nosek
Home
51.4% (6,118)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Eller
Nosek
P1
51.2%
52.3%
P2
50.1%
54.0%
P3
50.2%
54.6%
OT
56.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |