Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Nosek 53.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 53.7%
Defensive zone
Nosek 52.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Eller
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eller
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Eller
Nosek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
55.1% (557)
-4.0%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
50.0% (4)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
47.7% (111)
-4.1%
On power play, Nosek has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Eller
Nosek
Home
51.2% (510)
52.3% (342)
Away
47.8% (521)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Eller
Nosek
P1
50.7%
49.0%
P2
49.0%
53.8%
P3
48.3%
57.9%
Final 5 min
45.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |