Lars Eller vs Tomas Nosek

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Lars Eller holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Eller 55.7% vs Nosek 46.9% (+13.3%)
Offensive zone Nosek 53.4%
Defensive zone Eller 58.8%
Neutral zone Nosek 51.0%
Result Lars Eller favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Eller Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Eller
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
48.5% (66)
+8.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
100.0% (1)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
29.6% (27)
+26.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +26.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Eller
Nosek
Home
53.1% (211)
44.0% (25)
Away
59.7% (278)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Eller
Nosek
P1
55.4%
46.4%
P2
58.1%
34.2%
P3
57.1%
53.6%
Final 5 min
60.5%
41.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%
54.0%
56.9%
Nosek
46.0%
49.0%
43.6%