Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Nosek 51.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 54.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 53.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 68.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Eller
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Eller
Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
53.0% (400)
-0.2%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
33.3% (12)
+35.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
45.5% (44)
+0.0%
On power play, Eller has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Eller shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Eller
Nosek
Home
52.6% (340)
49.6% (244)
Away
51.8% (411)
54.2% (212)
By Period
Eller
Nosek
P1
52.4%
53.1%
P2
54.1%
51.4%
P3
50.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |