Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.9%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Nosek 51.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 59.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 53.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Eller
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Eller
Nosek
Last 7: Eller 4-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
0
Eller
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
3
Eller
Nosek
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
54.4% (215)
-1.6%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
0.0% (1)
+67.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
23.5% (17)
+22.7%
On power play, Eller has a +67.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Eller shoots left. Nosek is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Eller
Nosek
Home
54.5% (448)
50.4% (127)
Away
50.2% (484)
53.8% (106)
By Period
Eller
Nosek
P1
52.8%
51.4%
P2
50.9%
51.3%
P3
53.4%
53.2%
Final 5 min
55.6%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |