Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 32.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 43.9% vs Seguin 49.6% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 70.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 53.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 58.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Eller
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Eller
Seguin
Last 7: Eller 4-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Eller
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (402)
48.9% (274)
-5.9%
Power Play
16.7% (12)
53.8% (26)
-37.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
50.0% (2)
+16.7%
On power play, Seguin has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Eller is 32.4% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Eller shoots left. Seguin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Eller
Seguin
Home
44.6% (184)
53.5% (129)
Away
40.9% (247)
46.6% (174)
By Period
Eller
Seguin
P1
45.3%
52.3%
P2
41.5%
48.1%
P3
39.9%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
42.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |