Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.9%). Eller wins 61.3% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.9% vs Seguin 51.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.4%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Eller
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Eller
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Eller
Seguin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (650)
54.8% (135)
-2.0%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
58.3% (24)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (88)
26.7% (15)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Eller is 61.3% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Eller shoots left. Seguin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Eller
Seguin
Home
52.6% (340)
47.4% (95)
Away
51.8% (411)
59.5% (79)
By Period
Eller
Seguin
P1
52.4%
50.8%
P2
54.1%
57.1%
P3
50.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |