Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 36-32 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 57.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 60.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Eller
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
36
(68 meetings)
32
36
Eller
Seguin
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
10
20
Eller
Seguin
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
14
7
Eller
Seguin
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
8
9
Eller
Seguin
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
53.7% (8,071)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
55.9% (810)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
49.3% (762)
-2.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Eller
Seguin
Home
51.4% (6,118)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Eller
Seguin
P1
51.2%
52.8%
P2
50.1%
53.3%
P3
50.2%
54.7%
OT
56.7%
54.7%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |