Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.0% vs Seguin 55.4% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 52.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Eller
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Eller
Seguin
Last 7: Eller 2-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
4
Eller
Seguin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Eller
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (742)
56.9% (478)
-4.1%
Power Play
67.6% (34)
57.4% (54)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (156)
51.3% (76)
-5.1%
On power play, Eller has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Eller shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Eller
Seguin
Home
54.5% (448)
57.4% (317)
Away
50.2% (484)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Eller
Seguin
P1
52.8%
50.3%
P2
50.9%
60.4%
P3
53.4%
58.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:16 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |