Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Seguin 54.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 69.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 66.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Eller
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Eller
Seguin
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Seguin
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Eller
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
55.0% (713)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
56.7% (104)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
47.2% (53)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Eller shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Eller
Seguin
Home
56.4% (486)
56.2% (443)
Away
51.2% (537)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Eller
Seguin
P1
55.1%
54.2%
P2
55.3%
52.9%
P3
51.7%
57.1%
OT
27.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:01 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:15 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 04:46 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |