Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 51.7% vs Seguin 57.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 74.6%
Defensive zone
Seguin 56.9%
Neutral zone
Seguin 69.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Eller
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eller
Seguin
Last 7: Eller 5-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Seguin
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Eller
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (769)
59.6% (736)
-6.8%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
61.5% (65)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (188)
47.6% (124)
-0.8%
On even strength, Seguin has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Eller is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Eller shoots left. Seguin is 59.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Eller
Seguin
Home
51.3% (513)
60.1% (461)
Away
52.5% (520)
56.3% (464)
By Period
Eller
Seguin
P1
50.3%
59.1%
P2
52.8%
58.9%
P3
51.4%
57.3%
OT
87.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 2 | 14:42 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |