Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 50.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 64.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 58.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Eller
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Eller
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Eller
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
51.4% (735)
-0.3%
Power Play
45.0% (80)
63.5% (115)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (165)
42.9% (133)
+0.7%
On power play, Karlsson has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Eller shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Eller
Karlsson
Home
51.2% (510)
52.3% (524)
Away
47.8% (521)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Eller
Karlsson
P1
50.7%
50.7%
P2
49.0%
51.4%
P3
48.3%
53.2%
OT
56.3%
41.2%
Final 5 min
45.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |