Lars Eller vs William Karlsson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 57.6%). Eller wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Eller 55.7% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone Karlsson 59.7%
Defensive zone Eller 54.5%
Neutral zone Eller 53.4%
Result William Karlsson favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Eller Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Eller
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (434)
58.5% (135)
-2.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
80.0% (5)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
44.4% (18)
+12.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Eller is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Eller
Karlsson
Home
53.1% (211)
63.7% (91)
Away
59.7% (278)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Eller
Karlsson
P1
55.4%
54.4%
P2
58.1%
66.7%
P3
57.1%
51.9%
Final 5 min
60.5%
54.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%
54.0%
56.9%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
57.6%