Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 53.3% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 81.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.2%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 59.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Eller
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Eller
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Eller
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (865)
55.3% (897)
-1.5%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
61.1% (113)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (137)
50.8% (132)
+1.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Eller is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Eller shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Eller
Karlsson
Home
56.4% (486)
58.6% (560)
Away
51.2% (537)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Eller
Karlsson
P1
55.1%
55.8%
P2
55.3%
55.6%
P3
51.7%
55.7%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |