Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.3%). Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 64.8%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 50.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 56.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Eller
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
15
(35 meetings)
20
15
Eller
Karlsson
Last 10: Eller 6-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
7
4
Eller
Karlsson
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
9
6
Eller
Karlsson
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
4
5
Eller
Karlsson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
51.8% (7,849)
-0.7%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
54.8% (1,048)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
44.2% (1,109)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Eller shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Eller
Karlsson
Home
51.4% (6,118)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Eller
Karlsson
P1
51.2%
50.3%
P2
50.1%
51.3%
P3
50.2%
52.4%
OT
56.7%
44.9%
Final 5 min
49.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 19, 2023 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 08:35 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:36 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 10, 2018 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Lars Eller |