Scouting Report
Trevor Zegras holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Crouse wins 34.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crouse 45.6% vs Zegras 42.6% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crouse 62.9%
Defensive zone
Crouse 57.4%
Neutral zone
Crouse 52.7%
Result
Lawson Crouse favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Crouse
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Crouse
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crouse
1
0
Crouse
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crouse
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
41.7% (60)
41.1% (559)
+0.6%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
50.0% (12)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
50.0% (2)
-11.5%
On power play, Zegras has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Crouse is 34.7% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Crouse shoots left. Zegras is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Crouse
Zegras
Home
43.1% (51)
45.7% (247)
Away
35.5% (31)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Crouse
Zegras
P1
47.2%
45.5%
P2
40.6%
36.8%
P3
21.4%
41.1%
Final 5 min
30.4%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
40.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Lawson Crouse |