Scouting Report
Lawson Crouse holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Crouse wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crouse 44.0% vs Zegras 35.4% (+5.7%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 70.8%
Defensive zone
Crouse 64.8%
Neutral zone
Zegras 54.4%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Crouse
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crouse
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (54)
29.6% (230)
+5.6%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
32.1% (56)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
100.0% (1)
-75.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Crouse is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Crouse shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Crouse
Zegras
Home
36.8% (38)
30.6% (147)
Away
35.1% (37)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Crouse
Zegras
P1
46.4%
33.0%
P2
27.3%
31.7%
P3
35.7%
25.6%
Final 5 min
38.1%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
36.0%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%