Scouting Report
Lawson Crouse holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Crouse wins 31.0% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crouse 48.9% vs Zegras 41.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crouse 64.3%
Defensive zone
Crouse 64.3%
Neutral zone
Crouse 64.4%
Result
Lawson Crouse favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Crouse
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Crouse
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crouse
1
0
Crouse
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crouse
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
36.5% (156)
+7.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
40.7% (27)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
0.0% (3)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Crouse has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Crouse is 31.0% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Crouse shoots left. Zegras is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Home / Away
Crouse
Zegras
Home
50.0% (22)
38.9% (113)
Away
42.1% (19)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Crouse
Zegras
P1
55.6%
40.0%
P2
41.7%
38.1%
P3
36.4%
31.6%
Final 5 min
37.5%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
46.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Lawson Crouse |