Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 33.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Scheifele 48.3% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 60.3%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 61.4%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 53.7%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Carlsson
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Carlsson
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Carlsson
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Carlsson
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
48.1% (1,045)
-13.7%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
48.6% (181)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
44.4% (27)
-4.4%
On even strength, Scheifele has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Carlsson shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Scheifele
Home
38.6% (254)
52.7% (630)
Away
31.6% (307)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Carlsson
Scheifele
P1
35.9%
50.3%
P2
33.8%
46.8%
P3
34.3%
47.5%
OT
44.4%
36.4%
Final 5 min
36.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |