Leo Carlsson vs Matthew Poitras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matthew Poitras holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Poitras on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Poitras 45.3% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poitras 69.0%
Defensive zone
Poitras 53.4%
Neutral zone
Poitras 57.4%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Carlsson
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Carlsson
Poitras
Last 5: Carlsson 3-2 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Poitras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poitras
1
2
Carlsson
Poitras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
43.6% (388)
-2.6%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
60.0% (10)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
66.7% (3)
-31.7%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Carlsson is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Carlsson shoots left. Poitras is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Poitras
Home
42.2% (1,044)
43.6% (195)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
44.7% (206)
By Period
Carlsson
Poitras
P1
43.3%
42.6%
P2
36.5%
45.5%
P3
43.2%
44.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |