Leo Carlsson vs Matthew Poitras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matthew Poitras holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Poitras on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 42.0% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.4% vs Poitras 45.3% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poitras 69.0%
Defensive zone
Poitras 53.0%
Neutral zone
Poitras 57.4%
Result
Matthew Poitras favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Carlsson
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Carlsson
Poitras
Last 5: Carlsson 3-2 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Poitras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poitras
1
2
Carlsson
Poitras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
41.1% (1,716)
43.7% (378)
-2.6%
Power Play
42.8% (152)
55.6% (9)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (116)
66.7% (3)
-31.4%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Carlsson is 42.0% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Carlsson shoots left. Poitras is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Poitras
Home
42.9% (956)
43.6% (195)
Away
39.1% (1,028)
44.6% (195)
By Period
Carlsson
Poitras
P1
44.2%
41.2%
P2
35.8%
46.0%
P3
43.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
40.0%▼
43.5%
40.9%
Poitras
40.0%▼
45.0%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 11:38 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |