Scouting Report
Matthew Poitras holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Poitras 47.6% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Poitras 60.7%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 65.1%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 52.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Carlsson
Poitras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
45.2% (126)
-3.4%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
66.7% (3)
-29.4%
On power play, Poitras has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Carlsson shoots left. Poitras is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Poitras
Home
44.5% (362)
43.3% (67)
Away
38.3% (368)
48.4% (62)
By Period
Carlsson
Poitras
P1
46.3%
44.1%
P2
35.1%
47.1%
P3
43.9%
45.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.7%