Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 45.0% vs Poitras 48.3% (+5.5%)
Offensive zone
Poitras 51.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 64.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 58.6%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Carlsson
Poitras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (661)
35.3% (17)
+10.2%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
100.0% (1)
-53.7%
On power play, Poitras has a +53.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Carlsson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Carlsson shoots left. Poitras is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Poitras
Home
42.5% (428)
28.6% (7)
Away
46.4% (399)
45.5% (11)
By Period
Carlsson
Poitras
P1
45.4%
50.0%
P2
39.7%
33.3%
P3
48.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
38.9%