Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Kadri 49.0% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 53.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 72.0%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 63.3%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Carlsson
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Carlsson
Kadri
Last 9: Carlsson 3-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
4
Carlsson
Kadri
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Kadri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
2
Carlsson
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
47.7% (975)
-13.3%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
54.0% (226)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
55.6% (9)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Kadri has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Kadri is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (794).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Kadri
Home
38.6% (254)
48.3% (621)
Away
31.6% (307)
49.6% (589)
By Period
Carlsson
Kadri
P1
35.9%
48.1%
P2
33.8%
48.9%
P3
34.3%
49.8%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |