Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Kadri 46.5% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 62.7%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 69.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 63.7%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Carlsson
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Carlsson
Kadri
Last 5: Carlsson 0-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
6
Carlsson
Kadri
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
3
1
Carlsson
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
45.7% (1,295)
-3.9%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
52.7% (146)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
34.8% (23)
+3.9%
On power play, Kadri has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Kadri
Home
44.5% (362)
46.5% (725)
Away
38.3% (368)
46.0% (739)
By Period
Carlsson
Kadri
P1
46.3%
47.2%
P2
35.1%
44.9%
P3
43.9%
46.3%
OT
33.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
43.9%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |