Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Kadri 48.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 89.6%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 76.8%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 80.2%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Carlsson
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
Carlsson
Kadri
Last 10: Carlsson 2-8 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
2
11
Carlsson
Kadri
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Carlsson
Kadri
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
48.2% (12,510)
-7.2%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
53.0% (1,892)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
41.0% (293)
-6.0%
On power play, Kadri has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Carlsson shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Kadri
Home
42.2% (1,044)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
Carlsson
Kadri
P1
43.3%
49.2%
P2
36.5%
48.8%
P3
43.2%
48.0%
OT
40.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:39 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 16:22 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 16:44 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:59 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:50 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |