Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Donato 46.0% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 72.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 71.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 70.4%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Carlsson
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Carlsson
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Carlsson
Donato
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Donato
0
1
Carlsson
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
44.4% (180)
-10.0%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
43.2% (37)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
40.0% (5)
+0.0%
On even strength, Donato has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Donato is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Donato
Home
38.6% (254)
45.4% (97)
Away
31.6% (307)
43.2% (125)
By Period
Carlsson
Donato
P1
35.9%
36.2%
P2
33.8%
48.6%
P3
34.3%
46.9%
Final 5 min
36.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |