Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Bennett 45.9% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 52.3%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 57.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 59.3%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Carlsson
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Carlsson
Bennett
Last 5: Carlsson 2-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Carlsson
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Carlsson
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
44.7% (772)
-10.3%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
56.9% (58)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
42.9% (28)
-2.9%
On power play, Bennett has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Carlsson is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Carlsson shoots left. Bennett is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Bennett
Home
38.6% (254)
48.5% (447)
Away
31.6% (307)
42.1% (411)
By Period
Carlsson
Bennett
P1
35.9%
47.1%
P2
33.8%
45.8%
P3
34.3%
42.9%
OT
44.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |