Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 45.0% vs Bennett 48.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 82.9%
Defensive zone
Bennett 64.5%
Neutral zone
Bennett 64.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Carlsson
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Carlsson
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Bennett
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (661)
46.4% (780)
-0.9%
Power Play
46.3% (82)
57.3% (150)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
47.8% (46)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Carlsson is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Carlsson shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Bennett
Home
42.5% (428)
50.3% (519)
Away
46.4% (399)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Carlsson
Bennett
P1
45.4%
47.5%
P2
39.7%
46.6%
P3
48.5%
49.8%
OT
41.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |