Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Bennett 46.6% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 52.3%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 64.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 51.9%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Carlsson
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Carlsson
Bennett
Last 10: Carlsson 5-5 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
1
Carlsson
Bennett
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Carlsson
Bennett
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Carlsson
Bennett
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
46.5% (909)
-4.7%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
43.1% (51)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
38.5% (13)
+0.2%
On power play, Bennett has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Bennett is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Bennett
Home
44.5% (362)
45.4% (449)
Away
38.3% (368)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Carlsson
Bennett
P1
46.3%
49.6%
P2
35.1%
43.7%
P3
43.9%
45.1%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |