Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.2% vs Bennett 47.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Bennett leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 60.1%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 53.7%
Neutral zone
Bennett 52.8%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Carlsson
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Carlsson
Bennett
Last 10: Carlsson 6-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Carlsson
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Carlsson
Bennett
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Carlsson
Bennett
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
46.8% (5,683)
-5.8%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
53.7% (555)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
41.8% (256)
-6.8%
On power play, Bennett has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,479).
Carlsson shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Bennett
Home
42.2% (1,044)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Carlsson
Bennett
P1
43.3%
48.0%
P2
36.5%
46.5%
P3
43.2%
46.9%
OT
40.7%
52.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 12:18 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:50 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 18:43 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:28 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 17:16 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:49 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |