Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 33.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Carrick 53.0% (-18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 80.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 53.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 76.8%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Carlsson
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Carlsson
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Carlsson
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Carlsson
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
53.9% (521)
-19.5%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
57.1% (35)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
51.5% (229)
-11.5%
On even strength, Carrick has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Carlsson shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Carrick
Home
38.6% (254)
52.7% (408)
Away
31.6% (307)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Carlsson
Carrick
P1
35.9%
51.4%
P2
33.8%
56.6%
P3
34.3%
52.1%
Final 5 min
36.8%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |