Leo Carlsson vs Sam Carrick

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sam Carrick holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Carlsson wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Carlsson 41.2% vs Carrick 52.1% (-11.4%)
H2H factor Carrick leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone Carlsson 93.9%
Defensive zone Carlsson 75.8%
Neutral zone Carlsson 88.8%
Result Leo Carlsson favored at 82.0%
82.0%
18.0%
Carlsson Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1 - 9 (10 meetings)
1
9
Carlsson Carrick
Last 10: Carlsson 1-9 Carrick

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Carlsson Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
5
Carlsson Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Carlsson Carrick
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Carlsson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (1,844)
52.1% (2,513)
-11.1%
Power Play
42.9% (154)
61.3% (75)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (120)
50.7% (430)
-15.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +18.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Carlsson is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (639).
Carlsson shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Carrick
Home
42.2% (1,044)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
39.4% (1,074)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Carlsson
Carrick
P1
43.3%
51.8%
P2
36.5%
52.2%
P3
43.2%
52.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%
39.5%
40.8%
Carrick
56.0%
56.0%
52.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 22, 2026 3 10:49 Defensive Sam Carrick
Mar 22, 2026 2 12:31 Offensive Sam Carrick
Mar 22, 2026 2 05:25 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Mar 22, 2026 1 15:38 Defensive Sam Carrick
Mar 22, 2026 1 08:00 Defensive Sam Carrick
Dec 15, 2025 2 14:37 Neutral Sam Carrick
Mar 28, 2025 3 07:32 Neutral Sam Carrick
Mar 28, 2025 1 07:40 Defensive Sam Carrick
Mar 30, 2024 1 11:13 Defensive Sam Carrick
Mar 30, 2024 1 08:31 Offensive Sam Carrick