Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Carrick 53.7% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 87.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 53.7%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 76.1%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Carlsson
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Carlsson
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Carlsson
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Carlsson
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
53.8% (654)
-12.0%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
0.0% (2)
+37.3%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
63.9% (36)
-25.2%
On power play, Carlsson has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Carlsson is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Carlsson shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Carrick
Home
44.5% (362)
50.0% (328)
Away
38.3% (368)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Carlsson
Carrick
P1
46.3%
56.7%
P2
35.1%
51.1%
P3
43.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |