Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 33.5% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 37.1% vs Wright 50.3% (-15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 86.8%
Defensive zone
Wright 70.1%
Neutral zone
Wright 85.4%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Carlsson
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carlsson
Wright
Last 5: Carlsson 4-1 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carlsson
Wright
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
0
Carlsson
Wright
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
0
Carlsson
Wright
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (535)
52.6% (76)
-18.2%
Power Play
42.9% (21)
20.0% (5)
+22.9%
On power play, Carlsson has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Carlsson is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Carlsson shoots left. Wright is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (52).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Wright
Home
38.6% (254)
58.5% (41)
Away
31.6% (307)
42.5% (40)
By Period
Carlsson
Wright
P1
35.9%
50.0%
P2
33.8%
46.2%
P3
34.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
36.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
34.8%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:14 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |