Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Carlsson wins 41.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 42.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (-8.2%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 59.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 59.6%
Neutral zone
Gourde 51.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Carlsson
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (648)
51.2% (469)
-9.4%
Power Play
37.3% (51)
42.9% (21)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (31)
37.5% (48)
+1.2%
On even strength, Gourde has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Carlsson shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Gourde
Home
44.5% (362)
47.8% (301)
Away
38.3% (368)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Carlsson
Gourde
P1
46.3%
47.3%
P2
35.1%
53.4%
P3
43.9%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%