Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 52.4% vs Draisaitl 42.9% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 56.2%
Defensive zone
Carter 91.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 85.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Carter
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carter
Draisaitl
Last 5: Carter 4-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (934)
41.5% (270)
+10.0%
Power Play
58.5% (164)
35.6% (45)
+22.9%
On power play, Carter has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Carter is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Carter shoots right. Draisaitl is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (125).
Home / Away
Carter
Draisaitl
Home
55.1% (554)
45.1% (164)
Away
50.4% (639)
35.8% (151)
By Period
Carter
Draisaitl
P1
50.8%
48.1%
P2
52.1%
34.8%
P3
54.8%
39.4%
Final 5 min
51.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
40.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |