Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Duchene 52.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 81.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 50.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 65.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
Draisaitl
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Draisaitl
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Draisaitl
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
53.9% (193)
-1.5%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
49.2% (65)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
100.0% (1)
-39.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Duchene
Home
54.5% (778)
54.9% (113)
Away
55.3% (692)
51.4% (146)
By Period
Draisaitl
Duchene
P1
54.6%
54.9%
P2
56.1%
52.7%
P3
53.3%
51.9%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 16:54 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |