Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.5%). Draisaitl wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Duchene 55.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 72.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 56.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 55.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Draisaitl
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Draisaitl
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
56.5% (566)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
61.3% (62)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
22.2% (9)
+32.3%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (894).
Draisaitl shoots left. Duchene is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Duchene
Home
56.4% (734)
56.6% (318)
Away
57.5% (717)
56.4% (319)
By Period
Draisaitl
Duchene
P1
55.6%
57.2%
P2
62.1%
55.1%
P3
52.4%
55.6%
OT
61.5%
81.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:47 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 2 | 04:32 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 1 | 05:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |