Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Thomas 49.9% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Thomas 62.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 54.8%
Neutral zone
Thomas 57.3%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Draisaitl
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Draisaitl
Thomas
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
8
Draisaitl
Thomas
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
9
5
Draisaitl
Thomas
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
4
Draisaitl
Thomas
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
49.0% (910)
+3.6%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
53.5% (142)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
53.3% (75)
-4.1%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thomas
Home
55.5% (816)
47.3% (514)
Away
51.4% (845)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thomas
P1
51.1%
50.4%
P2
51.6%
47.5%
P3
56.9%
51.4%
OT
57.1%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 05:51 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:06 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 15:27 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:10 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |