Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.8%). Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.0% vs Thomas 54.5% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 78.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 62.0%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 60.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Draisaitl
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Draisaitl
Thomas
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
5
4
Draisaitl
Thomas
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
1
Draisaitl
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (923)
55.3% (990)
-1.6%
Power Play
56.1% (244)
54.2% (190)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (29)
52.5% (158)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thomas
Home
55.2% (636)
55.1% (690)
Away
53.4% (560)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thomas
P1
50.8%
55.5%
P2
56.6%
56.4%
P3
54.0%
51.5%
OT
67.9%
69.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | OT | 01:36 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 4, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:49 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:06 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |