Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Thomas 52.9% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 61.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 55.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 51.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Draisaitl
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Draisaitl
Thomas
Last 10: Draisaitl 5-5 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
3
Draisaitl
Thomas
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
6
Draisaitl
Thomas
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
53.2% (1,166)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
56.9% (262)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
48.4% (221)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thomas
Home
56.4% (734)
51.6% (830)
Away
57.5% (717)
54.7% (819)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thomas
P1
55.6%
52.7%
P2
62.1%
55.6%
P3
52.4%
50.6%
OT
61.5%
61.5%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 28, 2024 | OT | 02:00 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 28, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 05:20 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |