Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Thomas 52.7% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 67.5%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 58.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 65.5%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Draisaitl
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
Draisaitl
Thomas
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
3
4
Draisaitl
Thomas
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
9
3
Draisaitl
Thomas
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Draisaitl
Thomas
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
53.6% (924)
-1.2%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
55.2% (181)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
44.0% (116)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (520).
Draisaitl shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Thomas
Home
54.5% (778)
53.6% (606)
Away
55.3% (692)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Draisaitl
Thomas
P1
54.6%
48.2%
P2
56.1%
55.3%
P3
53.3%
55.2%
OT
66.7%
47.1%
Final 5 min
52.7%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | OT | 02:15 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 13:39 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:22 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:07 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |