Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.2% vs Carpenter 51.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 82.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 62.1%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 53.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
1
Draisaitl
Carpenter
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
5
Draisaitl
Carpenter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,124)
53.2% (299)
-0.6%
Power Play
58.4% (344)
33.3% (3)
+25.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (193)
46.5% (86)
+2.7%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Draisaitl shoots left. Carpenter is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Home
55.5% (816)
54.6% (207)
Away
51.4% (845)
48.1% (181)
By Period
Draisaitl
Carpenter
P1
51.1%
52.3%
P2
51.6%
51.5%
P3
56.9%
50.8%
Final 5 min
53.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |