Leon Draisaitl vs Ryan Carpenter
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 16 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 53.3% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 24-10 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 98.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 77.0%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 88.7%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 87.6%
87.6%
12.4%
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
10
(34 meetings)
24
10
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Last 10: Draisaitl 6-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
15
1
Draisaitl
Carpenter
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
7
9
Draisaitl
Carpenter
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Carpenter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (10,240)
49.6% (2,027)
+3.3%
Power Play
55.7% (2,827)
41.5% (41)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (977)
43.9% (467)
+7.3%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Draisaitl shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Home
54.6% (7,049)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
52.0% (6,995)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Draisaitl
Carpenter
P1
52.7%
49.6%
P2
53.6%
47.7%
P3
53.4%
48.0%
OT
57.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 9, 2022 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 5, 2020 | 2 | 16:22 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 16:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 14, 2019 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |