Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Draisaitl wins 63.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.5% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+9.1%)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 77.0%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 75.8%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 57.8%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Draisaitl
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,010)
48.8% (404)
+8.6%
Power Play
56.2% (331)
100.0% (1)
-43.8%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (110)
43.6% (101)
+10.9%
On power play, Carpenter has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Draisaitl shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Home
56.4% (734)
48.9% (274)
Away
57.5% (717)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Draisaitl
Carpenter
P1
55.6%
51.9%
P2
62.1%
49.4%
P3
52.4%
41.8%
OT
61.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%